At the start of the season we ran a piece on how true freshman QB’s have played the past two seasons, with one third of the season complete let’s take a look at how Brett Smith is doing so far. Through four games here are his passing numbers:
963 pass yards, 7 Touchdowns, and 4 Interceptions.
If we project these numbers through a full season Brett Smith’s end of year totals could look something like this:
2,889 Passing Yards, 21 Touchdowns, and 12 Interceptions.
Doing these types of projections can be dangerous because it will take Smith some time to adjust to conference play and we are likely to see more numbers like he put up in the Nebraska game than we saw versus the two lower division schools. With that in mind, you can probably down grade that projection by just a little bit. Yet, if he can keep this pace up it will be quite impressive as he would be well above the true freshman average of 1,932 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions put up by the 15 true freshman who have started on a regular basis the past two seasons. In fact his passing yards and touchdowns would be tops on the list passing USC QB Matt Barkley’s 2,735 passing yards and the 15 touchdowns put up by Barkley, Heaps (BYU) and Shinskie (BC). The only bad news is Louisiana Tech also starts a true freshman signal caller named Nick Isham who is also doing rather well and is on pace to put up slightly better numbers than Smith. We shall see who comes out on top at the end of the year when all the games are done.